Международное рейтинговое агентство Standard & Poor’s подтвердило суверенные рейтинги США на уровне «AA+»/«A-1+», но оставило прогноз «негативным» из-за политических и бюджетных рисков, говорится в сообщении агентства. Краткосрочный кредитный рейтинг США также оставлен без изменения — на уровне «А-1+».
Аналитики S&P объяснили решение сохранить высокий кредитный рейтинг суверенных облигаций США тем, что в стране достаточно сильная экономика, вызывающая доверие монетарной политикой и статусом доллара как основной мировой резервной валюты.
Однако, отметили эксперты, рейтинг США находится не на максимальном уровне по шкале S&P из-за наличия значительного дефицита бюджета и госдолга, а также снижения эффективности деятельности политических институтов, отвечающих за проведение бюджетно-налоговой политики. Кредитная слабость США по сравнению с другими суверенными эмитентами с такими уровнями рейтинга включает в том числе бюджетные проблемы, долговое бремя и «то, что мы считаем наблюдающимся в последнее время снижением эффективности, стабильности и предсказуемости политического регулирования и политических институтов, в особенности в отношении направления налогово-бюджетной политики», -отмечает S&P.
Отрицательные факторы могут «накопиться до такой степени, что заставят нас снизить долгосрочный рейтинг «АА+» к 2014 году», — предупредило агентство.
В числе сильных сторон кредитного профиля США S&P отметило «устойчивость экономики и надежную денежно-кредитную политику», а также статус доллара как основной резервной валюты мира.
В августе прошлого года агентство впервые в истории понизило высший кредитный рейтинг США на одну ступень — с «ААА» до «АА+», присвоив ему негативный прогноз. Решение агентства было обусловлено опасениями относительно растущих дефицита бюджета и госдолга США.
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