Россия вступила в негативную стадию экономического цикла: национальная экономика в настоящее время балансирует между «стагнацией и рецессией», а барьером для экономического роста является нехватка спроса.
Об этом заявил глава Минэкономразвития Алексей Улюкаев в своей авторской статье в газете «Ведомости».
«Нехватка спроса сейчас является существенным барьером, который мешает восстановить устойчивый рост, — написал он. — В этих условиях снижение государственных расходов в еще большей степени усилит негативные тенденции в экономике, что, в свою очередь, не позволит существенно улучшить фискальные позиции», — подчеркнул Улюкаев.
По мнению главы МЭР, стагнация в экономике РФ, характеризующаяся застоем торговых и производственных процессов с 2012 года, является не следствием неблагоприятной мировой конъюнктуры и даже не геополитических изменений, а, прежде всего, следствием слабости российской экономики.
«Надо признать, что при том качестве институтов, которое у нас есть, невозможно существенно улучшить предпринимательский климат, заинтересовать инвесторов», — пояснил Улюкаев. Он также назвал увеличение налогов для балансировки бюджета самым нежелательным сценарием для страны в настоящий момент.
По словам Улюкаева, в начале нового политического цикла российские власти объявляли о решении не увеличивать налоговое бремя и подтвердили это решение в документе «Основные направления налоговой политики на 2015 год и плановый период 2016-2017 годов», опубликованном три месяца назад. Глава МЭР добавил, что с повышением налогов данное обязательство дезавуируется.
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